Weekend long read

1) At the JCFA, Dr Jacques Neriah discusses The Lebanese Army’s Moment of Truth.

“For years, the LAF has operated under a “no-confrontation” policy with Hizbullah. This is partly due to political directives from the Lebanese government and partly because a direct clash could trigger a civil war. Proponents of the “Army-People-Resistance” doctrine argue that the LAF and Hizbullah complement each other, as the army provides domestic legitimacy, while Hizbullah provides asymmetric “deterrence” against external threats. As of early 2026, the LAF is under immense pressure, both from a new Lebanese leadership and international brokers, to implement disarmament plans north of the Litani River. Critics argue that until the LAF has a monopoly on the use of force, its “national” loyalty remains compromised by Hizbullah’s Iranian-backed influence.”

2) At the Alma Center, Avraham Levine reports on Hezbollah’s Media Tours.

“These tours are not merely a means of illustrating the scale of the damage, but primarily a tool of influence designed to steer media discourse toward a focus on civilian harm, while minimizing or obscuring the broader military context. By selectively presenting scenes of destruction and emphasizing the extent of civilian impact, Hezbollah seeks to establish a narrative of victimhood and reinforce the image that “Israeli aggression is directed against civilians.” This activity reflects Hezbollah’s concept of the “battle over consciousness,” in which the media arena is perceived as a direct continuation of the military arena.”

3) At the Moshe Dayan Center, Dr. Stella Gerani looks at How Iranian Missiles and Turkey’s Pivot Redefined the Eastern Mediterranean.

“While President Recep Tayyip Erdoğan maintains diplomatic backchannels with Tehran and Washington to promote de-escalation, Turkey has simultaneously utilized the chaos to solidify its “Blue Homeland” maritime doctrine and dramatically increase its military footprint in northern Cyprus, which has been occupied by the Turkish military since 1974. This strategic gambit positions Turkey as an indispensable power broker, yet it carries an inherent risk: as the U.S.–Israel–Iran tug-of-war intensifies, Ankara’s efforts to avoid marginalization may ultimately accelerate a systemic departure from its traditional Western alliances.”

4) At the JISS, Prof. Gabi Siboni and Erez Winner report on The “Settler Violence” Influence Warfare Campaign.

“OCHA’s data for April 2023–January 2026 records 2,047 incidents of violence against Israelis and 6,285 against Palestinians. A closer examination shows that the vast majority of the latter do not involve settler violence and certainly not violence initiated by settlers against Palestinians. Of the roughly 6,285 alleged incidents against Palestinians, 1,704 occurred not in settlements but in Jerusalem; another 1,361 relate to Jewish visits to the Temple Mount or clashes there between security forces and rioting Muslims. Settlers are not involved in these cases, yet the UN classifies each Jewish visit to the Temple Mount as “settler violence.””

5) At the INSS, Ofir Dayan analyses antisemitic narratives in the United States.

“This article examines antisemitic narratives prominent among extremists on both the right and the left in the United States during the US–Israeli military operation in Iran (“Roaring Lion” / “Epic Fury”). These narratives, which are intertwined with the legitimate domestic American debate over the necessity and objectives of the war, accuse Israel of dragging the United States into a war that contradicts American national interests while illegitimately controlling the government.”

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